SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
32.88% ( -0.03) | 25.68% ( -0) | 41.43% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.67% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.67% ( -0) | 49.33% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.62% ( -0) | 71.38% ( 0) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% ( -0.02) | 28.43% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.81% ( -0.03) | 64.18% ( 0.03) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( 0.02) | 23.61% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.31% ( 0.02) | 57.69% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.88% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.71% 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.43% |
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