SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 52.46%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
52.46% ( 0.08) | 23.33% ( 0.01) | 24.21% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.36% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( -0.12) | 44.32% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% ( -0.11) | 66.7% ( 0.12) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.11% ( -0.01) | 16.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.06% ( -0.02) | 46.94% ( 0.03) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.82% ( -0.14) | 32.18% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.33% ( -0.16) | 68.67% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Blyth Spartans |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.46% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 24.21% |
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