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National League North | Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Brewery Field
C

Spennymoor
2 - 1
Chorley

Taylor (7'), Blackett (29')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gloucester City 2-0 Spennymoor
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-3 Boston
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawChorley
35.28% (1.203 1.2) 26.07% (-0.189 -0.19) 38.65% (-1.012 -1.01)
Both teams to score 53.92% (0.827 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.46% (0.972 0.97)50.53% (-0.97000000000001 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.54% (0.854 0.85)72.45% (-0.851 -0.85)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47% (1.208 1.21)27.53% (-1.206 -1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96% (1.533 1.53)63.04% (-1.531 -1.53)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)25.6% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (-0.138 -0.14)60.48% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 35.28%
    Chorley 38.65%
    Draw 26.06%
Spennymoor TownDrawChorley
1-0 @ 9.09% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.204 0.2)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.166 0.17)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.199 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.153 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 35.28%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.123 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.408 -0.41)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.3 -0.3)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 38.65%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gloucester City 2-0 Spennymoor
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-2 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-2 Kidderminster
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-2 King's Lynn
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 1-2 Spennymoor
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-0 Hereford
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-3 Boston
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-2 Buxton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 1-0 Kidderminster
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-0 Chorley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Chorley
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-2 Chorley
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League North


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