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National League South | Gameweek 30
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hardenhuish Park
TU

Chippenham
1 - 1
Torquay Utd

McClure (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Torquay United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 2-2 Chippenham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 54.93%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.44%) and 0-1 (7.27%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawTorquay United
23.8% (0.409 0.41) 21.27% (0.032 0.03) 54.93% (-0.442 -0.44)
Both teams to score 63.14% (0.42 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.84% (0.32299999999999 0.32)35.16% (-0.32400000000001 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.83% (0.359 0.36)57.16% (-0.361 -0.36)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (0.501 0.5)27.51% (-0.503 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (0.644 0.64)63.02% (-0.645 -0.65)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.11% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)12.89% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.7% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)39.29% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 23.8%
    Torquay United 54.93%
    Draw 21.27%
Chippenham TownDrawTorquay United
2-1 @ 6.05% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 4.58% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.95% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 23.8%
1-1 @ 9.38% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.55% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.82% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 9.61% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-1 @ 7.27% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-3 @ 6.56% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.08% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 4.23% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.6% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.17% (0.018 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 54.93%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Aveley 2-2 Chippenham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 2-3 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-0 Chippenham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-2 Bath City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 Weymouth
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 0-1 Truro City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-2 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League South


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