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National League South | Gameweek 17
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
3 - 2
Welling United

Parker (16'), McClure (26'), Williams (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Maloney (10', 53' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Bath City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 22.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chippenham Town would win this match.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawWelling United
52.31% (0.152 0.15) 24.73% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 22.95% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.45% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.55% (0.131 0.13)51.44% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74% (0.113 0.11)73.25% (-0.114 -0.11)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (0.113 0.11)19.64% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39% (0.183 0.18)51.61% (-0.183 -0.18)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)37.22% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)74.01% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 52.31%
    Welling United 22.95%
    Draw 24.72%
Chippenham TownDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 11.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.68% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.25% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.31% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.81% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 22.95%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-2 Weymouth
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-1 Taunton Town
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Bath City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Taunton Town
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-0 Welling United
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 0-0 Welling United
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South


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