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National League South | Gameweek 30
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
1 - 2
Tonbridge Angels

Mensah (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Higgs (16'), Mampolo (52')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Worthing
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawTonbridge Angels
32.62% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 25.51% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 41.87% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)48.66% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (-0.023 -0.02)70.78% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (0.007000000000005 0.01)28.27% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (0.010000000000005 0.01)63.99% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)23.1% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)56.95% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 32.62%
    Tonbridge Angels 41.87%
    Draw 25.51%
Dover AthleticDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.64% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.21% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.36%
3-0 @ 2.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.62%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 9.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.43% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.87%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-2 Truro City
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-1 Aveley
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Worthing
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 2-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Weymouth
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-0 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Maidstone
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South


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