Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.