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National League South | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
3 - 2
Bath City

Fielding (8'), Gard (69' pen., 89' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cooke (27'), Wilson (31')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawBath City
42.29% (0.0019999999999953 0) 25.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 31.79% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 53.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.34% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)50.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)72.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)23.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)57.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)29.8% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.12% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)65.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 42.28%
    Bath City 31.79%
    Draw 25.92%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawBath City
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 7.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 42.28%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.58%
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 31.79%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-3 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-3 Taunton Town
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-0 Braintree
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 2-5 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Bath City
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-1 Bath City
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-2 Bath City
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League South


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