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National League South | Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 0
Cheshunt

Greenidge (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Cheshunt.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 0-2 Worthing
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawCheshunt
49.1% (-0.155 -0.16) 23.72% (0.0019999999999989 0) 27.18% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 58% (0.121 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.49% (0.101 0.1)43.5% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.1% (0.098999999999997 0.1)65.89% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)17.84% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.4% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)48.59% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Cheshunt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (0.164 0.16)29.4% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6% (0.199 0.2)65.39% (-0.202 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 49.1%
    Cheshunt 27.18%
    Draw 23.71%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawCheshunt
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 49.1%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.93% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 27.18%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 2-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Dartford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Hemel Hempstead
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 4-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 4-3 Hungerford
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 0-2 Worthing
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 2-1 Bath City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 1-2 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Cheshunt
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-0 Cheshunt
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 1-0 Weymouth
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South


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