National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Treyew Road
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Chelmsford City.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result |
| Truro City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
27.61% ( 0.01) | 25.2% ( 0.01) | 47.18% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( -0.02) |
| 50.34% ( -0.03) | 49.66% ( 0.03) |
| 28.32% ( -0.03) | 71.68% ( 0.03) |
| 67.71% ( -0.01) | 32.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.21% ( -0.01) | 68.79% ( 0.01) |
| 78.93% ( -0.03) | 21.07% ( 0.02) |
