Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
