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National League South | Gameweek 11
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium
H&

Weymouth
0 - 2
Havant & W'ville

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Roberts (78'), Wright (85')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Havant & Waterlooville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weymouth 0-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.

Result
WeymouthDrawHavant & Waterlooville
27.65% (2.989 2.99) 25.32% (1.16 1.16) 47.03% (-4.147 -4.15)
Both teams to score 53.1% (-1.028 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.88% (-2.614 -2.61)50.12% (2.617 2.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.91% (-2.373 -2.37)72.09% (2.377 2.38)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.5% (1.022 1.02)32.5% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.97% (1.131 1.13)69.03% (-1.128 -1.13)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (-2.753 -2.75)21.32% (2.756 2.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.72% (-4.445 -4.45)54.28% (4.447 4.45)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 27.65%
    Havant & Waterlooville 47.03%
    Draw 25.31%
WeymouthDrawHavant & Waterlooville
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.986 0.99)
2-1 @ 6.76% (0.505 0.51)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.659 0.66)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.254 0.25)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.286 0.29)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 27.65%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.58 0.58)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.706 0.71)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 10.71% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.342 -0.34)
0-2 @ 8.28% (-0.547 -0.55)
1-3 @ 4.79% (-0.621 -0.62)
0-3 @ 4.26% (-0.689 -0.69)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.266 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.427 -0.43)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.437 -0.44)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 47.03%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Weymouth 0-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 1-1 Weymouth
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-2 Oxford City
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-1 Weymouth
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 4-1 Hungerford
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-4 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-0 Farnborough Town
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 2-3 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 4-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South


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