National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Aveley.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result |
| Worthing | Draw | Aveley |
41.14% ( 0.19) | 25.25% ( 0.06) | 33.61% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 56.35% ( -0.3) |
| 52.75% ( -0.35) | 47.25% ( 0.35) |
| 30.52% ( -0.33) | 69.47% ( 0.32) |
| 77.16% ( -0.06) | 22.84% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.43% ( -0.09) | 56.57% ( 0.09) |
| 73.03% ( -0.33) | 26.96% ( 0.32) |
