SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Taunton Town had a probability of 13.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Taunton Town win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Taunton Town |
66.19% ( -0.17) | 19.84% ( 0.09) | 13.97% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.51% ( -0.21) | 44.49% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.14% ( -0.2) | 66.86% ( 0.2) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.43% ( -0.11) | 12.57% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.37% ( -0.23) | 38.63% ( 0.23) |
| Taunton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.41% ( -0.01) | 43.59% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.22% ( -0) | 79.78% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Taunton Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 66.19% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.84% | 0-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.12% 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 13.97% |
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