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National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The EBB Stadium.
G

Aldershot
2 - 3
Gateshead

Partington (7'), Jordan (90+2')
Cordner (32'), Kenlock (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Campbell (20'), Dinanga (48', 57')
Pye (45+2'), Campbell (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southend 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

We said: Aldershot Town 0-1 Gateshead

Aldershot recorded a much-needed win at Southend last weekend but have failed to earn back-to-back wins in the National League since November. Gateshead were improved during their stalemate with Torquay and should have enough about them to pick up three vital points in Hampshire on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawGateshead
32.7% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 24.85% (0.0040000000000013 0) 42.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 57.44% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)45.71% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)68.03% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.78% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)62.06% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)21.55% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)54.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 32.7%
    Gateshead 42.45%
    Draw 24.85%
Aldershot TownDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.01% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.7%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.96%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Southend 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 4-1 Aldershot
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 2-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 3-4 Wrexham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 0-0 Halifax
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Gateshead
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 2-1 Oldham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-0 Gateshead
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League


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