Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
-0.13) 
0.4) 
