Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Barnet win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Barnet
58.06% ( -0.02)	22.48% ( -0.05)	19.46% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 52.48% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.73% (

0.34)

46.27% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.44% (

0.32)

68.56% (

-0.32)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.36% (

0.11)

15.64% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.34% (

0.2)

44.66% (

-0.2)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.21% (

0.28)

37.79% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.44% (

0.27)

74.56% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 58.05%

Barnet 19.46%

Draw 22.48%

Chesterfield	Draw	Barnet
1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 58.05%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.48%	0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 19.46%