SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
49.09% ( -0.73) | 23.84% ( 0.4) | 27.07% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.87% ( -1.54) | 44.13% ( 1.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.49% ( -1.51) | 66.51% ( 1.51) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.91% ( -0.86) | 18.09% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.98% ( -1.5) | 49.02% ( 1.5) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( -0.55) | 29.81% ( 0.55) |
