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National League | Gameweek 16
Jan 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Technique Stadium
G

Chesterfield
5 - 0
Gateshead

Grigg (12', 45+2', 54' pen.), Naylor (33'), Jacobs (45+3')
Oldaker (8')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Richardson (26')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: York City 2-0 Gateshead
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League

We said: Chesterfield 2-0 Gateshead

Having not lost many games this season, it remains to be seen how Chesterfield will react to suffering a couple of defeats over the Christmas and New Year period. However, we feel that Cook's side will respond with a professional performance and clean sheet to boost their promotion bid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawGateshead
52.04% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 22.68% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.79% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)40.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)62.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4% (0.0039999999999907 0)15.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)44.58% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.9% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)65.1% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 52.04%
    Gateshead 25.28%
    Draw 22.68%
ChesterfieldDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.72%
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 52.04%
1-1 @ 10.41%
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.68%
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.61%
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 25.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Solihull
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 2-0 Chesterfield
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 4-1 Aldershot
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Leyton Orient
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: York City 2-0 Gateshead
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 York City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-2 Gateshead
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 0-2 Halifax
Saturday, December 16 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 Southend
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 1-2 Gateshead
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League


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