Chesterfield
3 - 1
Notts County

Maguire (60', 86'), Asante (90' pen.)
Whittle (7'), Kellerman (41'), Khan (89'), Miller (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sam (40')
Cameron (62')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and Notts County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Notts County
40.36%	26.62%	33.01%

Both teams to score 51.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.79%

53.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.22%

74.77%

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.09%

25.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.1%

60.89%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.73%

30.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.56%

66.44%

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 40.37%

Notts County 33.01%

Draw 26.61%

Chesterfield	Draw	Notts County
1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.37%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.84% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.01%