Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
