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National League | Gameweek 13
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
BW

Ebbsfleet
3 - 1
Boreham Wood

O'Neill (21'), McQueen (31', 71')
Chapman (17'), Wright (23')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Balanta (36')
Balanta (2'), Sousa (4'), Ilesanmi (8'), Robinson (44'), Payne (52')
Sass-Davies (65')
Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Boreham Wood.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-1 Dorking
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Fylde 2-2 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Boreham Wood win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawBoreham Wood
43.88% (-0.868 -0.87) 25.05% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 31.07% (0.923 0.92)
Both teams to score 56.07% (0.652 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.81% (0.637 0.64)47.2% (-0.632 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.57% (0.589 0.59)69.43% (-0.584 -0.58)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)21.52% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)54.58% (0.20200000000001 0.2)
Boreham Wood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45% (0.946 0.95)28.56% (-0.941 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (1.169 1.17)64.35% (-1.164 -1.16)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 43.88%
    Boreham Wood 31.07%
    Draw 25.05%
EbbsfleetDrawBoreham Wood
1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.253 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 43.88%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.15% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.103 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.163 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.83% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.147 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.103 0.1)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 31.07%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-1 Dorking
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 6-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 2-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-1 York City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Fylde 2-2 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-1 Rochdale
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 0-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 2-2 Boreham Wood
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-1 Barnet
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League


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