SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Hartlepool United |
54.62% ( -0.13) | 21.92% ( -0.03) | 23.45% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 60.33% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.34% ( 0.3) | 38.65% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.04% ( 0.32) | 60.95% ( -0.32) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.84% ( 0.06) | 14.16% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.16% ( 0.12) | 41.83% ( -0.12) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.28% ( 0.29) | 29.71% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.22% ( 0.36) | 65.77% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.62% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 23.45% |
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