Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
-0.02) 
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