Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 23.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
