Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 54.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for York City had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
-0.4) 
0.02) 
