Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 68.29%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 13.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
