Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
