SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Eastleigh |
53.4% ( -0.81) | 23.95% ( -0.39) | 22.64% ( 1.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( 2.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.41% ( 2.87) | 48.59% ( -2.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( 2.56) | 70.71% ( -2.55) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% ( 0.78) | 18.13% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.92% ( 1.31) | 49.08% ( -1.3) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.08% ( 2.78) | 35.92% ( -2.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.3% ( 2.75) | 72.7% ( -2.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -1.06) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.65)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.29)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.41% Total : 53.4% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.8)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.4)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.34)0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.88% Total : 22.64% |
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