SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Notts County |
34.9% ( -0.13) | 25.16% ( -0.04) | 39.94% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 56.95% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.4% ( 0.17) | 46.6% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.13% ( 0.16) | 68.87% ( -0.15) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( 0.01) | 25.88% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.13% ( 0.01) | 60.87% ( -0) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( 0.16) | 23.15% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( 0.23) | 57.03% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Notts County |
| 1-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 34.9% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.94% |
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