SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.77%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
42.17% ( 0.1) | 22.42% ( -0.12) | 35.41% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 67.3% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.83% ( 0.61) | 33.17% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.08% ( 0.69) | 54.92% ( -0.69) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% ( 0.29) | 16.48% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.8% ( 0.51) | 46.2% ( -0.52) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.58% ( 0.28) | 19.41% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.76% ( 0.46) | 51.24% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.59% Total : 42.17% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.41% |
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