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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 58.69%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 20.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 0-1 (7.45%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 2-1 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Notts County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Notts County |
20.89% ( -0.31) | 20.42% ( -0.16) | 58.69% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 62.1% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.28% ( 0.35) | 34.71% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.33% ( 0.39) | 56.67% ( -0.39) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% ( -0.07) | 29.69% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.25% ( -0.09) | 65.75% ( 0.09) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.32% ( 0.24) | 11.67% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.25% ( 0.51) | 36.75% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.99% Total : 20.89% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.42% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 6.95% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 5.72% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.73% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 58.69% |
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