Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 24.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-0 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
-0.23) 
0.02) 
