Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 83.69%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 5.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 4-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Maidenhead United |
83.69% ( 0.01) | 10.56% ( -0.01) | 5.75% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.94% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.84% ( 0.13) | 25.16% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.87% ( 0.16) | 45.13% ( -0.16) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.71% ( 0.02) | 4.29% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.21% ( 0.07) | 17.78% ( -0.07) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.22% ( 0.13) | 46.78% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.68% ( 0.1) | 82.32% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Maidenhead United |
3-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 5.18% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) 7-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.09% Total : 83.69% | 1-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 10.56% | 1-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 5.75% |
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