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National League | Gameweek 27
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
YT

Wrexham
3 - 0
Yeovil

Forde (60'), Jones (72'), Mullin (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cooper (42'), Freckleton (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnet 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, April 15 at 12.45pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 2-2 Yeovil
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Yeovil Town

Wrexham know they are three wins away from promotion to the Football League, and a home clash with Yeovil is almost a perfect opportunity to earn their 21st win at the Racecourse Ground this term. The Glovers travel to Wales knowing nothing other than a historic win will save their fifth-tier status, but we see them being unable to resist the might of the Red Dragons on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 86.64%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 3.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 4-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawYeovil Town
86.64% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 9.46% (0.0639 0.06) 3.89% (0.0209 0.02)
Both teams to score 40.21% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.11% (-0.24600000000001 -0.25)29.89% (0.248 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.94% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)51.06% (0.299 0.3)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.38% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)4.62% (0.056 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.17% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)18.83% (0.175 0.18)
Yeovil Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.16% (-0.103 -0.1)57.84% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.49% (-0.058 -0.06)89.51% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 86.63%
    Yeovil Town 3.9%
    Draw 9.46%
WrexhamDrawYeovil Town
3-0 @ 12.94% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.63% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 9.95% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.22% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.92% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 6.12% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.45% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 3.35% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-0 @ 3.14% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
7-0 @ 1.38% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 86.63%
1-1 @ 4.5% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.67% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 1.89%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 9.46%
0-1 @ 1.46% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 1.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 3.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barnet 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, April 15 at 12.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-2 Notts County
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 3-1 Wrexham
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 5-1 Oldham
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 York City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Bromley 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, March 18 at 3.15pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 2-2 Yeovil
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Yeovil 0-1 Dorking
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Yeovil
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 4-0 Yeovil
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Yeovil 0-2 Southend
Saturday, April 1 at 5.20pm in National League
Last Game: Yeovil 0-1 Bromley
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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