Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 49.19%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
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