Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.04) 
