Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 58.41%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 21.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.48%) and 1-3 (7.01%). The likeliest Estonia win was 2-1 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.