SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 47.54%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estonia | Draw | Cyprus |
| 47.54% | 22.72% | 29.73% |
| Both teams to score 63.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.93% | 37.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.74% | 59.26% |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% | 15.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.7% | 45.3% |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% | 24.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.2% | 58.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Estonia | Draw | Cyprus |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% 1-0 @ 7.15% 2-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 5.65% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.99% 4-1 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.75% Total : 47.54% | 1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 3.9% 3-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-1 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 3.88% 1-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.74% |
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