SM
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Finland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Romania had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Finland | Draw | Romania |
52.07% ( -0.02) | 23.88% ( 0.02) | 24.04% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.37% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.13% ( -0.08) | 46.87% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% ( -0.07) | 69.12% ( 0.07) |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% ( -0.03) | 17.98% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.16% ( -0.06) | 48.83% ( 0.06) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.29% ( -0.05) | 33.71% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.64% ( -0.05) | 70.36% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Finland | Draw | Romania |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.08% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.05% |
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