Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Wales had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.