The pressure is on Lithuania to come away with maximum points against a Faroe Islands outfit who won the reverse fixture and will be the slight favourites despite their poor form away from home.
We expect both nations to cause problems in the final third, but the visitors should have enough quality in their side to come out on top.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.09) 
