Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liechtenstein win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liechtenstein win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest San Marino win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liechtenstein would win this match.