SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Malta in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Malta.
| Result | ||
| San Marino | Draw | Malta |
26.9% ( -0.02) | 23.55% ( 0.01) | 49.55% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.33% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% ( -0.04) | 42.96% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( -0.04) | 65.36% ( 0.04) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( -0.03) | 29.33% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.7% ( -0.04) | 65.3% ( 0.04) |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.53% ( -0.01) | 17.47% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.06% ( -0.02) | 47.94% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Marino | Draw | Malta |
| 2-1 @ 6.72% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.85% 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 26.9% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 3.84% Total : 49.55% |
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