SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
42.1% ( 0.2) | 24.6% ( -0.03) | 33.3% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.61% ( 0.11) | 44.39% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.24% ( 0.11) | 66.76% ( -0.11) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( 0.14) | 21.15% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.99% ( 0.22) | 54.01% ( -0.22) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% ( -0.05) | 25.78% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.27% ( -0.06) | 60.72% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 42.1% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.6% | 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.3% |
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