Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 16.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Carrick Rangers	Draw	Glentoran
16.4% ( 0.29)	21.08% ( -0.07)	62.53% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 51.14% (

0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.9% (

0.84)

45.09% (

-0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.56% (

0.8)

67.44% (

-0.8)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.35% (

0.88)

40.65% (

-0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.76% (

0.78)

77.24% (

-0.79)

Glentoran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.17% (

0.2)

13.83% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.81% (

0.39)

41.19% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Carrick Rangers 16.4%

Glentoran 62.52%

Draw 21.08%

Carrick Rangers	Draw	Glentoran
1-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.4%	1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.08%	0-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 11% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 7.26% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 6.53% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.23% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 1.42% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 62.52%