Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
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