SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 11.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Ballymena United |
69.07% ( -0.65) | 19.17% ( 0.37) | 11.75% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 45.04% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.25% ( -0.89) | 46.75% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.98% ( -0.84) | 69.01% ( 0.84) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.58% ( -0.44) | 12.42% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.67% ( -0.93) | 38.33% ( 0.93) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.43% ( -0.08) | 48.56% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.36% ( -0.06) | 83.64% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 2-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.95% Total : 69.07% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 19.17% | 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.54% Total : 11.75% |
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