Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Crusaders	Draw	Carrick Rangers
50.89% ( 0.14)	23.57% ( -0.04)	25.53% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 56.97% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.83% (

0.11)

44.17% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.45% (

0.1)

66.55% (

-0.11)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.58% (

0.09)

17.41% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.14% (

0.16)

47.85% (

-0.16)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98% (

-0.02)

31.01% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.67% (

-0.03)

67.32% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Crusaders 50.89%

Carrick Rangers 25.53%

Draw 23.57%

Crusaders	Draw	Carrick Rangers
2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.82% Total : 50.89%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.57%	1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 25.53%