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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Newry City AFC |
46.09% ( 0.41) | 23.17% ( 0.04) | 30.74% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 62.49% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.3% ( -0.41) | 38.69% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39% ( -0.43) | 61% ( 0.43) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( -0) | 17.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.6% ( -0) | 47.4% ( -0) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( -0.47) | 24.57% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.94% ( -0.66) | 59.06% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.12% Total : 46.09% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.74% |
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